When China announced restrictions on exports of gallium and germanium in July, former Vice Commerce Minister Wei Jianguo was quoted in the China Daily as saying it was just the start if the West continued to target Chinas high-technology sector.
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Restricting the flow of two metals used in the manufacture of silicon chips was a well-thought-out heavy punch in reaction to the US Chips Act, Wei said.
The Biden administration has since tightened restrictions on the flow of advanced artificial intelligence chips to China, announcing on Friday a new raft of measures aimed at closing previous loopholes.
China is responding in kind, this time taking aim at the Wests electric vehicle (EV) ambitions.
There is much potential for further escalation in this unfolding critical minerals battle between China and the West.
Graphite has slipped under the radar in the broader critical raw materials debate. Chinas control of other battery inputs such as cobalt, nickel and lithium has grabbed the headlines.
Those are all used to make the battery cathode. It wont work, however, without an anode, which is invariably made of graphite.
Indeed, graphite is the largest EV battery component by weight, typically accounting for between 50 and 100 kg.
China is the dominant player in the global supply of both natural graphite and synthetic graphite, which has been taking an increasing share of the market.
The country accounts for around two-thirds of all natural graphite production and, according to consultancy Benchmark Minerals, supplies around 98% of the worlds synthetic graphite anodes.
The Wests dependency on Chinese supply has seen graphite recently join the likes of cobalt and rare earths on the US Department of Energys list of super-critical raw materials.
The US and its metals allies are investing in non-Chinese supply.
The Department of Defense awarded $37 million in July to Graphite One to accelerate a feasibility study on its Graphite Creek project in Alaska, thought to be one of the largest 10 identified deposits in the country.
Australia has used its A$2 billion Critical Minerals Facility to lend A$185 million to Renascor Resources Siviour graphite project and A$40m to EcoGraf Ltds battery anode plant.
However, none will be in operation by the start of December, when Chinas export restrictions come into place.
The big question is how tightly China will squeeze the graphite export pipeline.
Its worth noting the ban is not on all forms of graphite. The new measures, which prohibit any exports without a licence, cover high-purity synthetic graphite and natural flake graphite, including spherical and expanded forms.
Previous restrictions on lower-grade graphite exports destined for the steel and lubricants sectors have been rescinded.
The curbs are clearly targeted at the EV battery sector but which parts?
If gallium and germanium are anything to go by, expect a flurry of export activity in the run-up to the Dec. 1 deadline and then a collapse in activity.
Some Chinese companies have received their licences and many more applications are under review but the process has essentially halted exports of both metals for the time being. Prices of both have unsurprisingly increased.
The worlds graphite supply chain could well be in for a similar short-term shock.
Western governments are still evaluating their response, waiting like the rest of us to see how Chinas graphite volumes play out in the coming months.
One potential avenue would be challenge the export curbs at the World Trade Organization (WTO), an option the Japanese government is already evaluating.
This was a tactic successfully used when China cut off exports of rare earths in . A joint complaint by the US, the European Union and Japan was upheld in and China was forced to back down.
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Indeed, the Obama administration launched multiple complaints against China at the WTO and won all of them other than the last, which challenged the country over its subsidized aluminum industry.
The Trump administration, by contrast, was outright hostile to the WTO and preferred unilateral trade action such as the Section 232 tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum.
The Biden administration has so far been equally dismissive. When the WTO last year upheld Chinas complaint about the Section 232 tariffs, Assistant Trade Representative Adam Hodge rejected the finding as flawed and said these WTO panel reports only reinforce the need to fundamentally reform the WTO dispute settlement system.
While the European Union and Japan might prefer to use the old world order trade dispute system, the US quite evidently wont be leading the way.
Rather, the more likely response will be to double down on the countrys already heavy investment in building out a domestic critical mineral supply chain and working with allied countries to source what it cannot produce itself.
With no sign of any let-up in the campaign to cut off the flow of high-end chips to China, the risk of further heavy counter punches in the metals sector looks high.
If gallium and germanium were, to quote Chinas Wei, just the start, graphite is unlikely to mark the end of this escalating global tit-for-tat.
(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, Andy Home, a columnist for Reuters.)
(Editing by David Evans)
It is the cost that you pay to design and make an injection mold, above of all, the injection mold is able to run well to mass produce your plastic parts, but this is not enough for a smart injection mold buyer. If you are the one who want to buy plastic injection molds from China, you might be interested to have a general ideas of what is the total cost if you decide to buy from a China injection mold factory, the total cost is a combination of the cost of mold design, material, machining , surface treatment, sampling ,if you do injection molding production somewhere else, there are maybe shipping cost and custom duty involved.
Estimated 10% of the injection mold cost, for an simple part/mold, it takes about 1-2 days for DFM and 2-3 days for 3D mold design, design for some complex and big size injection molds could take weeks to complete, mold design is vital to an injection mold, the design can influences the actual total cost of an injection mold manufacturing in many ways, a great mold designer knows how to save cost and meanwhile maintain the quality to meet demands accurately
Material takes up 20-30% of the total injection mold cost, it can be break up in several catalogues
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Machining cost make up 20-30% of the total injection mold cost, this is a big part of an injection mold factory competitiveness, major machining process include CNC turning, EDM, wire cut, milling, grinding, drilling etc , many factors influence the machining cost ,the truth is it is not easy to maintain low cost while high quality, high quality means , besides excellent operation, continuous investments on machineries and well trained employees that is all costly,
Normal surface treatment such polish to SPI-SPE B /C standard and standardized EDM texture wont cost much, but mirror polish or special texture can be costly depends on specific demands.
It takes 3-5% of the total mold cost, usually it takes 2-3 rounds sampling for a new injection mold, this cost is highly related with mold design, machining, assembly fitting that happened in last stage, so a good mold factory have the capability to minimize the times of sampling and cost come with it
If you look for doing injection mold at one place and molding production at another, then you must consider the shipping cost and custom duty when it come across the border.
Above is base on door to door service, propose to use one shipping agent to do for all instead of 2 or more for one shipment.
Different places have different tax policies. I am not quite sure about this part, l think a local shipping agent can give you some professional advices.
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